Einfluss atmosphärischer Umgebungsbedingungen auf den Lebenszyklus konvektiver Zellen in der Echtzeit-Vorhersage

Abstract

Precise warnings of the accompanying effects of thunderstorms are essential for preventive measures. The dynamic development of thunderstorm cells often leads to a large discrepancy between the real-time forecasts (nowcasts) of weather services and the observed weather conditions. Data from a cell tracking algorithm are combined with model analyses to investigate the life cycle of thunderstorms in Germany and to develop and evaluate procedures useful for thunderstorm nowcasting.